==Modelers much not be permitted to project more certainty than their models deserve; politicians must not be allowed to offload accountability to models of their choosing==
Mind the assumption
Models are often imported from other applications, where the assumptions made are no longer reasonable
Require inputs that cant be known for the scenario
Global uncertainty and sensitivity analysis should be done to potentially mitigate this
Mind the hubris
==Complexity does not equate to accuracy==
More parameters means more uncertainty due to the uncertainty cascade effect
Mind the framing
Model will contain biases from the developers
The tool can be easily manipulated by the developers to support or decline a certain point of view
Mind the consequences
The need to produce numbers can push a discipline away from being roughly right towards being precisely wrong
Mind the unknowns
Docta ignorantia is a virtue
Models can mask or hide ignorance
Failure to acknowledge this fact can lead to undesired surprises
#quotes "There is no number-answer to your question" - Anthony Faucci